Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003073 0.003307 0.003564 0.003867 0.004221 0.004622 0.005121
2024-12-15 0.002708 0.003016 0.003375 0.003834 0.004416 0.005153 0.006191
2024-12-22 0.002530 0.002895 0.003345 0.003956 0.004799 0.005983 0.007913
2024-12-29 0.002387 0.002790 0.003306 0.004046 0.005144 0.006851 0.010104
2025-01-05 0.002217 0.002626 0.003166 0.003968 0.005222 0.007325 0.011914
2025-01-12 0.002054 0.002456 0.002994 0.003815 0.005147 0.007513 0.013280
2025-01-19 0.001960 0.002368 0.002925 0.003801 0.005287 0.008131 0.016242
2025-01-26 0.001802 0.002180 0.002701 0.003523 0.004930 0.007663 0.015731
2025-02-02 0.001748 0.002134 0.002675 0.003552 0.005117 0.008391 0.020008
2025-02-09 0.001723 0.002126 0.002702 0.003667 0.005481 0.009674 0.029708
2025-02-16 0.001676 0.002082 0.002671 0.003680 0.005652 0.010568 0.041887
2025-02-23 0.001661 0.002084 0.002710 0.003817 0.006106 0.012556 0.092934
2025-03-02 0.001610 0.002032 0.002666 0.003812 0.006273 0.013877 0.260425
2025-03-09 0.001547 0.001961 0.002589 0.003738 0.006273 0.014643 2.591743
2025-03-16 0.001524 0.001948 0.002602 0.003837 0.006720 0.017846 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001498 0.001929 0.002605 0.003915 0.007144 0.021878 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001448 0.001869 0.002535 0.003839 0.007124 0.023289 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001389 0.001794 0.002435 0.003694 0.006879 0.022813 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001356 0.001759 0.002401 0.003680 0.007021 0.025786 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001283 0.001658 0.002251 0.003417 0.006371 0.021235 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001263 0.001639 0.002241 0.003444 0.006611 0.024942 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001257 0.001642 0.002268 0.003553 0.007136 0.033949 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001236 0.001621 0.002252 0.003566 0.007359 0.041322 NaN